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hand 4-2,5-2,6-3,5-1,0-0,1-1,4-3 · adapter v2_voids_3000g_big.pt
V_head pick ones +8.14 · best bid 30 on threes P(make) 33% -0.34 mk

The hand

Summary dashboard

Hand tiles with trumps highlighted, plus trump count / V_head / count-in-trump bars, Q-spread violin, and the P(make) heatmap.

Trump composition

Trump count, count-point protection, and pip-sum "heft" per declaration. Green-edged = you hold the declared double.

V_head per declaration

Gus's expected game E[Q] on ±42 scale, assuming oracle partner. Red bar = top pick.

π_me: lead distribution

P(lead this tile | declaration) for the opening play.

Belief head (pre-play)

No plays yet → distribution should be ~uniform across the three opponent seats.

Q_head world spread

Max-legal Q across 64 sampled opponent-hand worlds. Wide = hand swings with the deal.

Gus self-play P(make)

All 4 seats = gus. 100 random deals per declaration. Red-box = best expected mark swing.

Expected mark swing

(2·P_make − 1) × marks. Positive = bid it, negative = pass.